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Ray Dalio believes nations will outlaw Bitcoin if BTC price keeps rising

Ray Dalio believes nations will outlaw Bitcoin if BTC price keeps rising

Ray Dalio, the billionaire hedge fund legend, doesn’t see digital currencies like Bitcoin (BTC) succeeding the best way different folks do. He expects authorities to clamp down on cryptocurrencies after they see “materials” progress.

The day by day chart of Bitcoin relationship again to Jan. 1, 2020. Supply: TradingView

In the meantime, BTC has vastly outperformed Bridgewater year-to-date. Barry Silbert, CEO of Grayscale — a cryptocurrency funding agency with over $9 billion in property beneath administration — mentioned:

“YTD returns: Bridgewater Pure Alpha II Fund: -18% Bitcoin: +115%.”

Bitcoin and Bridgewater can’t be instantly in contrast, in fact. The previous is a decentralized, digital forex with a market cap of $291 billion. The latter is a hedge fund that manages $148 billion in property beneath administration as of September 2020.

Nonetheless, the distinction in efficiency reveals Bitcoin has much more risk-reward potential, notably as its market capitalization immediately is barely 2.36% of gold.

Different billionaire buyers present an urge for food for Bitcoin

Finally, Dalio’s skepticism towards cryptocurrencies comes right down to the regulatory risk towards them.

If cryptocurrencies see materials progress, Dalio mentioned governments would probably ramp up their efforts to limit them, although he didn’t specify at which BTC worth threshold governments will begin taking direct motion. He additionally mentioned:

“I don’t suppose digital currencies will achieve the best way folks hope they might.”

Dalio’s skepticism has additionally been shared by authorities officers. United States President Donald Trump launched an announcement concerning Bitcoin in July 2019. On the time, he wrote on Twitter:

“Not a fan of Bitcoin and different Cryptocurrencies, which aren’t cash, and whose worth is very unstable and primarily based on skinny air.”

Nonetheless, former U.S. President Barack Obama described Bitcoin as a “Swiss checking account,” alluding to the truth that nation-states gained’t have the ability to totally ban one thing that’s not solely world but in addition one thing that may be simply secured by people. 

Throughout a keynote on the South by Southwest competition in 2016, former president Barak Obama mentioned in relation to cryptocurrencies:

“All people is strolling round with a Swiss checking account of their pocket.”

At its core, Bitcoin is a peer-to-peer software program protocol. Governments might transfer towards limiting the usage of cryptocurrencies by outlawing on and off-ramps into cryptocurrencies. However that might merely make Anti-Cash Laundering initiatives much less sensible, as customers will merely go underground or transfer to friendlier jurisdictions.

Moreover, when cryptocurrencies transfer to the gray market and folks begin buying and selling crypto property in a peer-to-peer method, it will get tougher to crack down on illicit exercise.

As such, a robust argument will be made that it’s not in the most effective curiosity of governments to outright ban Bitcoin.