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A Bitcoin whale just shorted $100M BTC — Are big holders expecting a larger drop?

A Bitcoin whale just shorted $100M BTC — Are big holders expecting a larger drop?

A Bitcoin (BTC) whale positioned a $100 million quick on Bybit, in keeping with the pseudonyms dealer CL. It comes after numerous on-chain information factors towards a whale-driven sell-off all through the previous week.

Although the momentum of Bitcoin stays sturdy, there are various causes that make $16,000 a horny space for sellers.

There may be important liquidity at $16,000, primarily as a result of it’s a heavy resistance stage. However the stage has seen comparatively excessive purchaser demand, stablecoin inflows present. Therefore, the battle between patrons and sellers at $16Okay makes it an space with excessive liquidity, which is compelling for sellers.

Bitcoin orderbook on futures exchanges. Supply: CL, Exocharts

Growing indicators of whales taking income

A vendor aggressively offered Bitcoin on Bybit on Nov. 15. Order flows present that there have been promote orders value round $3.5 million on common consecutively over a number of hours.

Based mostly on the abrupt large-scale promote order, CL advised that this will likely end in two eventualities.

First, the vendor may get engulfed and trigger a squeeze, which could trigger the BTC value to extend. Second, it may proceed to use promoting strain on BTC. The dealer wrote:

“Approx 2 hours in the past, somebody aggressive offered nearly ~100M on Bybit, a third of the sells are opens, personally fairly curious to see what occurs if this vendor/shorter does get engulfed, or if he’s let free.”

In the meantime, different main exchanges have noticed giant deposits over the past 24 hours. United States-based cryptocurrency alternate Gemini noticed a 9,000 BTC deposit, in keeping with the information from CryptoQuant.

Gemini BTC influx imply. Supply: CryptoQuant

Whales usually make the most of exchanges with strict compliance and powerful regulatory measures, which embody platforms like Coinbase and Gemini.

Contemplating the big Bitcoin deposit into Gemini, which is value $143 million, a pseudonymous researcher often called “Blackbeard” stated it’s time to be cautious.

Simply weekend volatility?

As CL famous, Bitcoin’s present market construction is completely different from the earlier cycle. As an illustration, when BTC was at $16,000 in 2017, the market was extraordinarily overheated with excessive volatility. The dealer stated:

“Again in 2017, once we pumped from 10okay, 15, into 20okay, we had OKEx weekly futures commerce in 1000$ contangos, now we’re right here with quarterlies solely 100$ above.”